This dataset contains information on the survival of sagebrush seedlings originating from seed collected from 3 'local' populations over 2+ years. Datasets presented consist of individual seedling survival, growth and reproduction data as well as population level results as they relate to the differences in modeled and calculated climate variables and the differences between the climatic conditions of the seed source sites and the common garden sites.

This dataset contains information on seedling survival, physiochemical, morphological, and eco-physiological characteristics of seedlings grown and planted from seed collected from different sagebrush populations as well as the climatic conditions of those seed source sites in relation to the common garden location in which they were planted.

This dataset contains information on seedling survival, physiochemical, morphological, and eco-physiological characteristics of seedlings grown and planted from seed collected from different sagebrush populations as well as the climatic conditions of those seed source sites in relation to the common garden location in which they were planted.

The distance within which populations respond to features in a landscape (scale of effect) can indicate how disturbance and management may affect wildlife. Using annual counts of male Greater Sage-grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus) attending 584 leks in southwest Wyoming (2003-2019) and estimates of sagebrush cover from the Rangeland Condition Monitoring Assessment and Projection (RCMAP), we used a scale selection approach to jointly estimate the scale of effect and the effect of sagebrush cover in the surrounding landscape for sage-grouse population trends. We estimated these parameters using a state-space model fit with a Bayesian approach. Data formatting necessary for this analysis produced data stored in two lists, one for model constants (nimbleconstants_sg_wlci.txt, including number of years, number of sites [leks], number of scales, number of visits, indicators for site and year, and number of detection parameters) and one for model data (nimbledata_sg_wlci.txt, including lek counts/surveys in both long- and array-format, a matrix for detection covariates, an array for sagebrush cover [scaled], and unscaled arrays for sagebrush, ordinal date, and time since sunrise).

The distance within which populations respond to features in a landscape (scale of effect) can indicate how disturbance and management may affect wildlife. Using annual counts of male Greater Sage-grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus) attending 584 leks in southwest Wyoming (2003-2019) and estimates of sagebrush cover from the Rangeland Condition Monitoring Assessment and Projection (RCMAP), we used a scale selection approach to jointly estimate the scale of effect and the effect of sagebrush cover in the surrounding landscape for sage-grouse population trends. We estimated these parameters using a state-space model fit with a Bayesian approach. Data formatting necessary for this analysis produced data stored in two lists, one for model constants (nimbleconstants_sg_wlci.txt, including number of years, number of sites [leks], number of scales, number of visits, indicators for site and year, and number of detection parameters) and one for model data (nimbledata_sg_wlci.txt, including lek counts/surveys in both long- and array-format, a matrix for detection covariates, an array for sagebrush cover [scaled], and unscaled arrays for sagebrush, ordinal date, and time since sunrise).

Sagebrush (Artemisia spp.) ecosystems provide critical habitat for the near-threatened Greater sage-grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus), and future loss of sagebrush habitat because of land use change and global climate change is of concern. We used a dynamic additive spatio-temporal model to estimate effects of climate (spring-summer temperatures and precipitation) on sagebrush cover dynamics at 32 sage-grouse management (core) areas in Wyoming, 1985-2018. We then use the fitted models to make probabilistic projections of sagebrush cover in each core area across three time intervals (2018-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2100) and under three climate change scenarios and weighted averages of 18 Global Circulation Models (ssp126, ssp245, and ssp585), producing 351 netCDF files (USGS_SageCastWY.zip).

Sagebrush (Artemisia spp.) ecosystems provide critical habitat for the near-threatened Greater sage-grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus), and future loss of sagebrush habitat because of land use change and global climate change is of concern. We used a dynamic additive spatio-temporal model to estimate effects of climate (spring-summer temperatures and precipitation) on sagebrush cover dynamics at 32 sage-grouse management (core) areas in Wyoming, 1985-2018. We then use the fitted models to make probabilistic projections of sagebrush cover in each core area across three time intervals (2018-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2100) and under three climate change scenarios and weighted averages of 18 Global Circulation Models (ssp126, ssp245, and ssp585), producing 351 netCDF files (USGS_SageCastWY.zip).

This dataset release provides historical (2016 - 2023) estimates of fractional cover for Exotic Annual Grass (EAG) species and a native perennial bunch grass in the arid and semi-arid rangelands of the western United States. The dataset includes four (five for 2023) fractional cover maps per year, accompanied by corresponding confidence maps, for a group of 16 species of EAGs, Cheatgrass (Bromus tectorum); Medusahead (Taeniatherum caput-medusae); and Sandberg Bluegrass (Poa secunda). Field Brome (Bromus arvensis) is added as individual map species in 2023. The data were generated using a combination of field observations from Bureau of Land Management (BLM) Assessment, Inventory, and Monitoring (AIM) plots; remotely sensed data from the Harmonized Landsat and Sentinel-2 (HLS) product (specifically Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI)), and various environmental, vegetation, remotely sensed, and geophysical drivers. Additionally, artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques were employed in the data generation process. It should be noted that the training of regression-tree models and the development of historical maps (2016-2020) utilized a total of 17,536 AIM plots from years 2016 – 2019. For the creation of 2021 maps, 19,415 AIM plots from years 2016 - 2021 were employed, and 2022 maps, 28,901 AIM plots from 2016-2022 were used. In the case of 2016 – 2020 maps, areas above 2250-m elevation and pixels classified other than grassland/herbaceous or shrub (likely rangelands) were masked based on the 2016 National Land Cover Database (NLCD). 2021 onward maps, areas above 2350-m elevation and pixels classified as other than grassland/herbaceous by the 2019 NLCD for 2021 and 2022 and 2021 NLCD for 2023 were masked. The seed source variable from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (RAP) [Jones et al., 2018]) was used as one of the drivers for modeling of 2016 – 2020 maps but was not utilized for modeling of 2021 and later maps. Additionally, HLS NDWI were not used after 2021 maps. All other predictor variables are identical for all sets of maps. For details, please check data quality information section.

This dataset release provides historical (2016 - 2023) estimates of fractional cover for Exotic Annual Grass (EAG) species and a native perennial bunch grass in the arid and semi-arid rangelands of the western United States. The dataset includes four (five for 2023) fractional cover maps per year, accompanied by corresponding confidence maps, for a group of 16 species of EAGs, Cheatgrass (Bromus tectorum); Medusahead (Taeniatherum caput-medusae); and Sandberg Bluegrass (Poa secunda). Field Brome (Bromus arvensis) is added as individual map species in 2023. The data were generated using a combination of field observations from Bureau of Land Management (BLM) Assessment, Inventory, and Monitoring (AIM) plots; remotely sensed data from the Harmonized Landsat and Sentinel-2 (HLS) product (specifically Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI)), and various environmental, vegetation, remotely sensed, and geophysical drivers. Additionally, artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques were employed in the data generation process. It should be noted that the training of regression-tree models and the development of historical maps (2016-2020) utilized a total of 17,536 AIM plots from years 2016 – 2019. For the creation of 2021 maps, 19,415 AIM plots from years 2016 - 2021 were employed, and 2022 maps, 28,901 AIM plots from 2016-2022 were used. In the case of 2016 – 2020 maps, areas above 2250-m elevation and pixels classified other than grassland/herbaceous or shrub (likely rangelands) were masked based on the 2016 National Land Cover Database (NLCD). 2021 onward maps, areas above 2350-m elevation and pixels classified as other than grassland/herbaceous by the 2019 NLCD for 2021 and 2022 and 2021 NLCD for 2023 were masked. The seed source variable from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (RAP) [Jones et al., 2018]) was used as one of the drivers for modeling of 2016 – 2020 maps but was not utilized for modeling of 2021 and later maps. Additionally, HLS NDWI were not used after 2021 maps. All other predictor variables are identical for all sets of maps. For details, please check data quality information section.

This dataset release provides historical (2016 - 2023) estimates of fractional cover for Exotic Annual Grass (EAG) species and a native perennial bunch grass in the arid and semi-arid rangelands of the western United States. The dataset includes four (five for 2023) fractional cover maps per year, accompanied by corresponding confidence maps, for a group of 16 species of EAGs, Cheatgrass (Bromus tectorum); Medusahead (Taeniatherum caput-medusae); and Sandberg Bluegrass (Poa secunda). Field Brome (Bromus arvensis) is added as individual map species in 2023. The data were generated using a combination of field observations from Bureau of Land Management (BLM) Assessment, Inventory, and Monitoring (AIM) plots; remotely sensed data from the Harmonized Landsat and Sentinel-2 (HLS) product (specifically Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI)), and various environmental, vegetation, remotely sensed, and geophysical drivers. Additionally, artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques were employed in the data generation process. It should be noted that the training of regression-tree models and the development of historical maps (2016-2020) utilized a total of 17,536 AIM plots from years 2016 – 2019. For the creation of 2021 maps, 19,415 AIM plots from years 2016 - 2021 were employed, and 2022 maps, 28,901 AIM plots from 2016-2022 were used. In the case of 2016 – 2020 maps, areas above 2250-m elevation and pixels classified other than grassland/herbaceous or shrub (likely rangelands) were masked based on the 2016 National Land Cover Database (NLCD). 2021 onward maps, areas above 2350-m elevation and pixels classified as other than grassland/herbaceous by the 2019 NLCD for 2021 and 2022 and 2021 NLCD for 2023 were masked. The seed source variable from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (RAP) [Jones et al., 2018]) was used as one of the drivers for modeling of 2016 – 2020 maps but was not utilized for modeling of 2021 and later maps. Additionally, HLS NDWI were not used after 2021 maps. All other predictor variables are identical for all sets of maps. For details, please check data quality information section.