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Flood Frequency Data and 2020 Observed Flood Probability for Selected Streamgages in the Fortymile River Basin, Alaska, 1911–2020
This data release provides the source data and results of a flood frequency analysis and annual exceedance probability estimation for a flood that occurred on June 22, 2020 in the Fortymile River Basin, Alaska. Data are provided for two streamgages that had at least 10 years of peak-flow record. The data include streamgage information, PeakFQ input (.txt and .PSF files) PeakFQ output (.PRT, .EXP, and .JPEG files), flood frequency parameters, flood frequency estimates for the 50-, 20-, 10-, 4-, 2-, 1-, 0.5-, and 0.2-percent annual exceedance probabilities, and annual exceedance probability estimates for the flood of interest. These data were intended to support investigations of streamflow in the Fortymile River Basin.
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Flood Frequency Data and 2022 Observed Flood Probability for Two Streamgages in the Delta River Basin, Alaska, 1963-2022
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This data release provides the source data and results of a flood frequency analysis and annual exceedance probability estimation for a flood that occurred on July 11, 2022 in the Delta River Basin, Alaska. Data are provided for two streamgages that had at least 10 years of peak-flow record. The data include streamgage information, PeakFQ input (.txt and .PSF files) PeakFQ output (.PRT, .EXP, and .JPEG files), flood frequency parameters, flood frequency estimates for the 50-, 20-, 10-, 4-, 2-, 1-, 0.5-, and 0.2-percent annual exceedance probabilities, and annual exceedance probability estimates for the flood of interest. These data were intended to support investigations of streamflow in the Delta River Basin.
Flood Frequency Data and 2022 Observed Flood Probability for Two Streamgages in the Delta River Basin, Alaska, 1963-2022
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This data release provides the source data and results of a flood frequency analysis and annual exceedance probability estimation for a flood that occurred on July 11, 2022 in the Delta River Basin, Alaska. Data are provided for two streamgages that had at least 10 years of peak-flow record. The data include streamgage information, PeakFQ input (.txt and .PSF files) PeakFQ output (.PRT, .EXP, and .JPEG files), flood frequency parameters, flood frequency estimates for the 50-, 20-, 10-, 4-, 2-, 1-, 0.5-, and 0.2-percent annual exceedance probabilities, and annual exceedance probability estimates for the flood of interest. These data were intended to support investigations of streamflow in the Delta River Basin.
Flood Frequency Data Collection, Alaska and Conterminous Basins in Canada
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This data collection of U.S. Geological Survey data releases provides the source data and results of flood frequency analyses and annual exceedance probability estimation for selected observed floods in Alaska and conterminous basins in Canada. The data include streamgage information, PeakFQ input and output, flood frequency parameters, flood frequency estimates for selected annual exceedance probabilities, and annual exceedance probability estimates for selected observed flood events.
Flood Frequency Data for a Streamgage in the Hulahula River Basin, Alaska, 2011–2021
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This data release provides the source data and results of a flood frequency analysis for a streamgage in the Hulahula River Basin, Alaska. Data are provided for one streamgage that had at least 10 years of peak-flow record. The data include streamgage information, PeakFQ input (.txt and .PSF files) PeakFQ output (.PRT, .EXP, and .JPEG files), flood frequency parameters, flood frequency estimates for the 50-, 20-, 10-, 4-, 2-, 1-, 0.5-, and 0.2-percent annual exceedance probabilities. These data were intended to support investigations of streamflow in the Hulahula River Basin.
Flood Frequency Data for Selected Streamgages in the Mendenhall River Basin, Alaska, 1966–2023
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This data release provides the source data and results of a flood frequency analysis for sites in the Mendenhall River Basin, Alaska, that was conducted using USGS PeakFQ software (Veilleux and others, 2014; Flynn and others, 2006). Data are provided for two streamgages that had at least 10 years of annual peak-flow record. The data include streamgage information, PeakFQ input (.txt and .PSF files) PeakFQ output (.PRT, .EXP, and .EMF files), flood frequency parameters, and flood frequency estimates for the 50-, 20-, 10-, 4-, 2-, 1-, 0.5-, and 0.2-percent annual exceedance probabilities. Flood frequency analysis for the Mendenhall River excluded annual peak-flow data affected by glacial lake outburst floods. These data were intended to support investigations of streamflow in the Mendenhall River Basin.
Input and selected output files from flood-frequency analyses conducted in version 7.3 of USGS PeakFQ software for 346 selected streamgages in New Mexico and parts of Arizona, Colorado, Oklahoma, Texas, and Utah that were used to develop regional regression equations to estimate the magnitude and frequency of floods at ungaged locations in New Mexico
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The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with the New Mexico Department of Transportation, estimated the magnitude and frequency of floods corresponding to the 50-, 20-, 10-, 4-, 2-, 1-, 0.5-, and 0.2-percent annual exceedance probabilities (AEPs; otherwise known as the 2-, 5-, 10-, 25-, 50-, 100-, 200-, and 500-year floods, respectively) for 346 selected streamgages in New Mexico and parts of Arizona, Colorado, Oklahoma, Texas, and Utah using data through water year 2020. An updated regional flood skew, -0.145, standard error 0.454, was computed for the study area. Regression equations were developed which can be used to estimate the magnitude and frequency of floods at ungaged locations on unregulated streams in the study area. The methods and results of the study are published in the parent report (Bell and others, 2022, https://doi.org/10.5066/XXXXXXXX). For the 346 selected streamgages, this dataset includes peak-flow (*.pkf) and specification (*.psf), output (*.PRT), and export (*.EXP) files from version 7.3 of USGS PeakFQ software (Veilleux and others, 2014; Flynn and others, 2006). Within PeakFQ software, the Expected Moments Algorithm (EMA) was used to conduct frequency analyses to estimate stream discharges corresponding to the 0.5, 0.2, 0.1, 0.04, 0.02, 0.01, 0.005, and 0.002 AEPs. When appropriate, the updated regional skew was used to weight the at-site skew in the frequency analyses. Results of the frequency analyses were used in generalized least-squares (GLS) regression to generate equations that predict discharges corresponding to selected AEPs at ungaged locations on streams in the study area (Bell and others, 2022).
Data for the Estimation of Flood Discharges at Selected Annual Exceedance Probabilities for Unregulated, Rural Streams in Vermont, 2023
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These data include annual instantaneous maximum discharge record for 156 streams and rivers in Vermont and adjacent areas of New Hampshire, Massachusetts, and New York through the 2023 water year. The data also include flood-frequency estimates for the 50-, 20-, 10-, 4-, 2-, 1-, 0.5-, and 0.2-percent annual exceedance probabilities that were analyzed using the discharge data. These flood-frequency data were used to develop regression equations for estimating the magnitude of floods at the selected annual exceedance probabilities on ungaged, unregulated, rural streams in Vermont. The regression equations use the basin characteristics of drainage area, percentage of wetland area in the basin, and the basinwide mean of the annual precipitation as explanatory variables. These basin characteristics for the streamgages and the Geographic Information System datasets for computing the basin characteristics are also in this data release. This data release is structured with the streamgage data, the input and output files for the version 7.5.1 PeakFQ software (U.S. Geological Survey, 2024) used to conduct flood-frequency analysis, the flood-frequency results, the streamgage basin characteristics, and the geographic information system datasets used to determine the basin characteristics on the main page. There is one sub-page which is used as a model archive for the regression analysis. U.S. Geological Survey, 2024, Water resources application software, PeakFQ, accessed March 4, 2024, at http://water.usgs.gov/software/peakfq.html.
At-site flood frequency for 422 streamgages in parts of the Upper Mississippi and Souris-Red-Rainy basins and surrounding areas in the United States, using data through water year 2013
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This dataset contains site information and results of flood-frequency analysis for 422 streamflow gaging stations (streamgages) operated by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) in parts of the Upper Mississippi and Souris-Red-Rainy basins and surrounding areas in the United States. Annual peak-flow data from the 1844 - 2013 water years were used in the study (U.S. Geological Survey, 2024). Following federal guidelines for flood-frequency analysis (Bulletin 17C; England and others, 2018) and methods outlined in recent flood-frequency reports for the region (Eash and others, 2013; Southard and Veilleux, 2014; Levin and Sanocki, 2023; Sanocki and Levin, 2023), the Expected Moments Algorithm (EMA) was used in version 7.5.1 of USGS PeakFQ software (Veilleux and others, 2014; Flynn and others, 2006; https://water.ugsgs.gov/software/PeakFQ/) to conduct the analyses. Results of the analyses, specifically the at-site skew and its mean squared error, are intended for use in Bayesian weighted least-squares/Bayesian generalized least-squares (B-WLS/B-GLS) regression (Veilleux and Wagner, 2019; Veilleux and Wagner, 2021) to model regional skew for the study area. Peak-flow (.pkf), specification (.psf), output (.PRT), and export (.EXP) files from PeakFQ and a .csv file containing site information and selected results of flood-frequency analyses are provided.
Worksheet for computing annual exceedance probability flood discharges and prediction intervals at stream sites in Connecticut
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The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with Connecticut Department of Transportation, completed a study to improve flood-frequency estimates in Connecticut. This companion data release is a Microsoft Excel workbook for: (1) computing flood discharges for the 50- to 0.2-percent annual exceedance probabilities from peak-flow regression equations, and (2) computing additional prediction intervals, not available through the USGS StreamStats web application. The current StreamStats application (version 4) only computes the 90-percent prediction interval for stream sites in Connecticut. The Excel workbook can be used to compute the 70-, 80-, 90-, 95-, and 99-percent prediction intervals. The prediction interval provides upper and lower limits of the estimated flood discharge with a certain probability, or level of confidence in the accuracy of the estimate. The standard error of prediction for the Connecticut peak-flow regression equations ranged from 26.3 to 45.0 percent (Ahearn and Hodgkins, 2020). The Excel workbook consists of four worksheets. The worksheets provide an overview of how the application works; input and output tables of the explanatory variables and flood discharges, and graphical display of the results; and the computational formulas used to estimate the flood discharges and prediction intervals.
Worksheet for computing annual exceedance probability flood discharges and prediction intervals at stream sites in Connecticut
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The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with Connecticut Department of Transportation, completed a study to improve flood-frequency estimates in Connecticut. This companion data release is a Microsoft Excel workbook for: (1) computing flood discharges for the 50- to 0.2-percent annual exceedance probabilities from peak-flow regression equations, and (2) computing additional prediction intervals, not available through the USGS StreamStats web application. The current StreamStats application (version 4) only computes the 90-percent prediction interval for stream sites in Connecticut. The Excel workbook can be used to compute the 70-, 80-, 90-, 95-, and 99-percent prediction intervals. The prediction interval provides upper and lower limits of the estimated flood discharge with a certain probability, or level of confidence in the accuracy of the estimate. The standard error of prediction for the Connecticut peak-flow regression equations ranged from 26.3 to 45.0 percent (Ahearn and Hodgkins, 2020). The Excel workbook consists of four worksheets. The worksheets provide an overview of how the application works; input and output tables of the explanatory variables and flood discharges, and graphical display of the results; and the computational formulas used to estimate the flood discharges and prediction intervals.