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Simulated annual area burned for eleven extensively forested ecoregions in the western United States for 1980 – 2099
This data release provides output produced by a statistical, aridity threshold fire model for 11 extensively forested ecoregions in the western United States. We identified thresholds in fire-season climate water deficit (FSCWD) that distinguish years with limited, moderate, and extensive area burned for each ecoregion. We developed a new area burned model using these relationships and used it to simulate annual area burned using historical climate from 1980 – 2020 and output from global climate models (GCMs) from 1980 – 2099. The data release includes a comparison of mean annual FSCWD for 13 GCMs that we used to select five GCMs that bracket the range of conditions projected for the RCP 8.5 emissions scenario. We used the aridity thresholds to classify each simulation year as having limited, moderate, or extensive area burned and defined fire-size distributions from historical fire records for these categories. We simulated individual fires from a regression relating fire season aridity to the annual number of fires and drew fire sizes from the corresponding fire-size distributions. For each ecoregion, we produced 1000 replicate simulations of annual area burned (ha).
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Impacts of Wildfires on Boreal Forest Ecosystem Carbon Dynamics
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This dataset contains simulations of net primary production (NPP), heterotrophic respiration (RH), net ecosystem production (NEP), and soil temperature data in North American boreal forests for the period 1986-2020. Data sources included historical fire sources and Landsat data. The delta Normalized Burn Ratio (dNBR), which can be used to represent burn severity for a fire, was calculated for each individual fire over the time period. The interactions between canopy, fire and soil thermal dynamics were modelled using a soil surface energy balance model incorporated into a previous Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM). Using the revised TEM, two regional simulations were conducted with and without fire disturbance. Fire polygons were dissected into each unit with unique fire history and then intersected with each grid cell to measure fire impacts. The output values for each grid cell are the area-weighted mean of each fire polygon and unburned area within the cell. Two extra simulations without a canopy energy balance scheme were also conducted to quantify the impact of the canopy. Soil temperature was simulated with and without the canopy energy balance scheme in the model in addition to considering fire impacts. The data are provided in comma separated values (CSV) format.
Impacts of Wildfires on Boreal Forest Ecosystem Carbon Dynamics
공공데이터포털
This dataset contains simulations of net primary production (NPP), heterotrophic respiration (RH), net ecosystem production (NEP), and soil temperature data in North American boreal forests for the period 1986-2020. Data sources included historical fire sources and Landsat data. The delta Normalized Burn Ratio (dNBR), which can be used to represent burn severity for a fire, was calculated for each individual fire over the time period. The interactions between canopy, fire and soil thermal dynamics were modelled using a soil surface energy balance model incorporated into a previous Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM). Using the revised TEM, two regional simulations were conducted with and without fire disturbance. Fire polygons were dissected into each unit with unique fire history and then intersected with each grid cell to measure fire impacts. The output values for each grid cell are the area-weighted mean of each fire polygon and unburned area within the cell. Two extra simulations without a canopy energy balance scheme were also conducted to quantify the impact of the canopy. Soil temperature was simulated with and without the canopy energy balance scheme in the model in addition to considering fire impacts.
Data inputs and outputs for simulations of species distributions in response to future fire size and climate change in the boreal-temperate ecotone of northeastern China
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This data release provides inputs needed to run the LANDIS PRO forest landscape model and the LINKAGES 3.0 ecosystem process model for the temperate-boreal ecotone Great Xing’an Mountains of northeastern China, and simulation results that underlie figures and analysis in the accompanying publication. The study compared the impacts of small and large fires on vegetation dynamics. The data release includes input data for LINKAGES including soils, landtype, and climate data; initial conditions of stands in the study area for LANDIS PRO; and maps of LANDIS PRO output for each model grid cell including total trees, total biomass (Mg/ha), and tree density (trees/ha) in ten-year timesteps. Output for four climate and fire scenarios are included for a 115-year simulation period (i.e., 1985 – 2100). A baseline scenario that applied observed climate and the historical fire regime from (1967 – 2006) was used for model calibration and evaluation. Three climate-change scenarios evaluated interactions between fire size and projected future climate under the GFDL-CM3 model with the RCP8.5 emissions scenario: (1) climate change and no fire, (2) climate change and small, frequent fires, and (3) climate change and large, infrequent fires.
Data inputs and outputs for simulations of species distributions in response to future fire size and climate change in the boreal-temperate ecotone of northeastern China
공공데이터포털
This data release provides inputs needed to run the LANDIS PRO forest landscape model and the LINKAGES 3.0 ecosystem process model for the temperate-boreal ecotone Great Xing’an Mountains of northeastern China, and simulation results that underlie figures and analysis in the accompanying publication. The study compared the impacts of small and large fires on vegetation dynamics. The data release includes input data for LINKAGES including soils, landtype, and climate data; initial conditions of stands in the study area for LANDIS PRO; and maps of LANDIS PRO output for each model grid cell including total trees, total biomass (Mg/ha), and tree density (trees/ha) in ten-year timesteps. Output for four climate and fire scenarios are included for a 115-year simulation period (i.e., 1985 – 2100). A baseline scenario that applied observed climate and the historical fire regime from (1967 – 2006) was used for model calibration and evaluation. Three climate-change scenarios evaluated interactions between fire size and projected future climate under the GFDL-CM3 model with the RCP8.5 emissions scenario: (1) climate change and no fire, (2) climate change and small, frequent fires, and (3) climate change and large, infrequent fires.
Projected Burn Probability (2020-2100)
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The data shared are spatially explicit projections of wildfire burn probability across Canada’s forested ecozones under multiple future climate scenarios at a 30-m spatial resolution. It is developed within the framework of Canada’s National Terrestrial Ecosystem Monitoring System (NTEMS). Four future climate scenarios were used to examine the spatiotemporal distribution of burn probability in the 21st century based on climate, vegetation, and topographic conditions ( Mulverhill et al. 2024). Projected burn probability is provided for four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) and four future time periods, including 2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2061-2080, and 2081-2100, along with a baseline period representing average climate conditions and burn probability between 1991 and 2020. Outputs represent the probability that the conditions (climate, vegetation, topography) of a given pixel resemble those of historically burned areas. All non-climate variables were held static; therefore, projections represent burn probability under future climate scenarios given contemporary (2020) forest conditions. When using this dataset, please cite Mulverhill et al. (2025), as below. Mulverhill, C., Coops, N. C., Wulder, M. A., Hermosilla, T., White, J. C., & Bater, C. W. (2025). Projected Future Changes in Burn Probability in Canada’s Forests and Communities Under Different Climate Change Scenarios. Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing, 51(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/07038992.2025.2560347(Mulverhill et al. 2025). For a detailed description of the source data and methods applied to the baseline period to enable the Mulverhill et al. (2025) projections, see: Mulverhill, C., Coops, N.C., Wulder, M.A., White, J.C., Hermosilla, T., and Bater, C.W. 2024. “Multidecadal mapping of status and trends in annual burn probability over Canada’s forested ecosystems.” ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, Vol. 209 pp. 279–295. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2024.02.006(Mulverhill et al. 2024).
Annual wildland fire emissions (WFEIS v0.5) for Conterminous US and Alaska, 2001-2013
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This data set contains annual modeled estimates of wildland fire emissions at 0.01 degree (~1-km) spatial resolution from the Wildland Fire Emissions Information System (WFEIS v0.5) for the conterminous U.S. (CONUS) and Alaska for 2001 through 2013. WFEIS is a web-based tool that provides resources to quantify emissions from past fires and output results as spatial data files (French et al., 2014). The data set includes emissions estimates of carbon (C), carbon monoxide (CO), carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), other non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHC), and particulate matter (PM) as well as estimates of above-ground biomass, total fuel availability, and consumption estimates.
Observed wildfire frequency, modelled wildfire probability, climate, and fine fuels across the big sagebrush region in the western United States
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These data were compiled so that annual wildfire could be modelled across the sagebrush region in the western United States. Our goal was to understand how wildfire probability relates to climate and fuel conditions across the entire sagebrush region. To do this we developed a statistical model that represents the relationship between annual wildfire probability and a small number of climate and fuel variables. Specifically, created predictions of wildfire probability using a biologically plausible logistic regression model that related wildfire probability to mean temperature, annual precipitation, the proportion summer precipitation (PSP), and aboveground biomass of annual herbaceous plants and perennial herbaceous plants. The biomass variables were used as proxies for fine fuel availability. These data represent annual fire occurrence in 1 km pixels (i.e. did a given pixel burn that year), predicted wildfire probability, as well as the three year running average (i.e. average across the current and previous two years) of climate and vegetation variables. These data were collected across the sagebrush region (the extent of the study area is provided by the cell_number_ids.tif file). The climate and vegetation data were compiled using a existing gridded dataset (Daymet) of daily precipitation and temperature, and vegetation data were summaries of annual estimates of aboveground biomass of annual and perennial herbaceous plants from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (https://rangelands.app/). These data can be used to understand spatial and temporal variability in wildfire occurrence and modelled wildfire probability between 1988 and 2019 and how that variability relates to spatial and temporal variability in climate and vegetation.
Fire Intensity and Burn Severity Metrics for Circumpolar Boreal Forests, 2001-2013
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This data set provides products characterizing immediate and longer-term ecosystem changes from fires in the circumpolar boreal forests of Northern Eurasia and North America. The data include fire intensity (fire radiative power; FRP), increase in spring albedo, decrease in tree cover, normalized burn ratio, normalized difference vegetation index, and land surface temperature, as well as three derived fire metrics: crown scorch, vegetation destruction, and fire-induced tree mortality. Longer-term changes are indicated by mean albedo determined 5-12 years after fires, mean percent decrease in tree cover 5-7 years after fires, and mean annual burned percentage. The data cover the period 2001-2013 and are provided at quarter, half, and one degree resolutions for boreal forests within the 40 to 80 degree North circumpolar region. The data were derived from a variety of sources including MODIS products, climate reanalysis data, and forest inventories. A data file with identified boreal forest area (pixels), as defined by climate and vegetation type, and a file with the defined North American and Eurasian boreal forest study regions are included.
Modelled long-term wildfire occurrence probabilities in sagebrush-dominated ecosystems in the western US (1985 to 2019)
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Exotic annual grasses are one of the most damaging biological stressors in western North America and increase the susceptibility of landscapes to wildfire occurrence. Here we couple estimates of long-term rangeland component fractions (e.g. exotic annual grasses) with remote sensing, climate data, and machine learning techniques to estimate the long-term (1985 to 2019) probability of wildfire occurrence (30-m spatial resolution) in sagebrush-dominated landscapes of the western United States.
Modelled long-term wildfire occurrence probabilities in sagebrush-dominated ecosystems in the western US (1985 to 2019)
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Exotic annual grasses are one of the most damaging biological stressors in western North America and increase the susceptibility of landscapes to wildfire occurrence. Here we couple estimates of long-term rangeland component fractions (e.g. exotic annual grasses) with remote sensing, climate data, and machine learning techniques to estimate the long-term (1985 to 2019) probability of wildfire occurrence (30-m spatial resolution) in sagebrush-dominated landscapes of the western United States.