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Daily water column temperature predictions for thousands of Midwest U.S. lakes between 1979-2022 and under future climate scenarios
<p>Lake temperature is an important environmental metric for understanding habitat suitability for many freshwater species and is especially useful when temperatures are predicted throughout the water column (known as temperature profiles). In this data release, multiple modeling approaches were used to generate predictions of daily temperature profiles for thousands of lakes in the Midwest. <br/> <br/> Predictions were generated using two modeling frameworks: a machine learning model (specifically an entity-aware long short-term memory or EA-LSTM model; Kratzert et al., 2019) and a process-based model (specifically the General Lake Model or GLM; Hipsey et al., 2019). Both the EA-LSTM and GLM frameworks were used to generate lake temperature predictions in the contemporary period (1979-04-12 to 2022-04-11 for EA-LSTM and 1980-01-01 to 2021-12-31 for GLM; times differ due to modeling spin-up/spin-down configurations) using the North American Land Data Assimilation System [NLDAS; Mitchell et al., 2004] as meteorological drivers. In addition, GLM was used to generate lake temperature predictions under future climate scenarios (covering 1981-2000, 2040-2059, and 2080-2099) using six dynamically downscaled Global Climate Models (GCM; Notaro et al., 2018) as meteorological drivers. Appropriate application of the six GCMs is dependent on the use-case and will be up to the user to determine. For an example of a similar analysis in the Midwest and Great Lakes region using 31 GCMs, see Byun and Hamlet, 2018. <br/> <br/> The modeling frameworks and driver datasets have slightly different footprints and input data requirements. This means that some of the lakes do not meet the criteria to be included in all three modeling approaches, which results in different numbers of lakes in the output (noted in the file descriptions below). The input data requirements for lakes to be included in the EA-LSTM predictions are lake latitude, longitude, elevation, and surface area, plus NLDAS drivers at the lake's location. All 62,966 lakes included this data release met these requirements. The input data requirements for lakes to be included in the contemporary GLM NLDAS-driven predictions are lake location (within one of the following 11 states: North Dakota, South Dakota, Iowa, Michigan, Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Missouri, Arkansas, and Ohio), latitude, longitude, maximum depth (though more detailed hypsography was used where available), surface area, and a clarity esitmate, plus NLDAS drivers at the lake's location. 12,688 lakes included this data release met these requirements. The input data requirements for lakes to be included in the future climate scenario GCM-driven predictions were the same as for the contemporary GLM predictions, except GCM drivers at the lake's location were required in place of NLDAS drivers. 11,715 lakes included this data release met these requirements. <br/> <br/> This data release includes the following files:</p> <ol> <li><b>lake_locations.zip</b>: shapefiles with the centroid of each lake (62,966 lakes)</li> <li><b>lake_metadata.csv</b>: metadata for each lake with predictions available (62,966 lakes)</li> <li><b>lake_id_crosswalk.csv</b>: mapping between the identifications for lakes used in this data release to state and other organization systems</li> <li><b>lake_hypsography.csv</b>: lake-specific area-depth relationships (13,785 lakes)</li> <li><b>lake_temperature_observations.zip</b>: temperature observational data used in training and/or evaluation (8,760 lakes)</li> <li><b>meteorological_inputs_GCM.zip</b>: meteorological input data for future climate scenarios, zipped NetCDF files. One NetCDF file per climate model (see the "lake_metadata.csv" file for how to map the lakes to the cells in these NetCDF files).</li> <li><b>meteorological_inputs_NLDAS_{GROUP}.zip</b>: meteorological input data for the contemporary period organized into grids, groups of zipped CSV files (see the "lake_metadata.csv"
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Daily water column temperature predictions for thousands of Midwest U.S. lakes between 1979-2022 and under future climate scenarios
공공데이터포털

Lake temperature is an important environmental metric for understanding habitat suitability for many freshwater species and is especially useful when temperatures are predicted throughout the water column (known as temperature profiles). In this data release, multiple modeling approaches were used to generate predictions of daily temperature profiles for thousands of lakes in the Midwest.

Predictions were generated using two modeling frameworks: a machine learning model (specifically an entity-aware long short-term memory or EA-LSTM model; Kratzert et al., 2019) and a process-based model (specifically the General Lake Model or GLM; Hipsey et al., 2019). Both the EA-LSTM and GLM frameworks were used to generate lake temperature predictions in the contemporary period (1979-04-12 to 2022-04-11 for EA-LSTM and 1980-01-01 to 2021-12-31 for GLM; times differ due to modeling spin-up/spin-down configurations) using the North American Land Data Assimilation System [NLDAS; Mitchell et al., 2004] as meteorological drivers. In addition, GLM was used to generate lake temperature predictions under future climate scenarios (covering 1981-2000, 2040-2059, and 2080-2099) using six dynamically downscaled Global Climate Models (GCM; Notaro et al., 2018) as meteorological drivers. Appropriate application of the six GCMs is dependent on the use-case and will be up to the user to determine. For an example of a similar analysis in the Midwest and Great Lakes region using 31 GCMs, see Byun and Hamlet, 2018.

The modeling frameworks and driver datasets have slightly different footprints and input data requirements. This means that some of the lakes do not meet the criteria to be included in all three modeling approaches, which results in different numbers of lakes in the output (noted in the file descriptions below). The input data requirements for lakes to be included in the EA-LSTM predictions are lake latitude, longitude, elevation, and surface area, plus NLDAS drivers at the lake's location. All 62,966 lakes included this data release met these requirements. The input data requirements for lakes to be included in the contemporary GLM NLDAS-driven predictions are lake location (within one of the following 11 states: North Dakota, South Dakota, Iowa, Michigan, Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Missouri, Arkansas, and Ohio), latitude, longitude, maximum depth (though more detailed hypsography was used where available), surface area, and a clarity esitmate, plus NLDAS drivers at the lake's location. 12,688 lakes included this data release met these requirements. The input data requirements for lakes to be included in the future climate scenario GCM-driven predictions were the same as for the contemporary GLM predictions, except GCM drivers at the lake's location were required in place of NLDAS drivers. 11,715 lakes included this data release met these requirements.

This data release includes the following files:

  1. lake_locations.zip: shapefiles with the centroid of each lake (62,966 lakes)
  2. lake_metadata.csv: metadata for each lake with predictions available (62,966 lakes)
  3. lake_id_crosswalk.csv: mapping between the identifications for lakes used in this data release to state and other organization systems
  4. lake_hypsography.csv: lake-specific area-depth relationships (13,785 lakes)
  5. lake_temperature_observations.zip: temperature observational data used in training and/or evaluation (8,760 lakes)
  6. meteorological_inputs_GCM.zip: meteorological input data for future climate scenarios, zipped NetCDF files. One NetCDF file per climate model (see the "lake_metadata.csv" file for how to map the lakes to the cells in these NetCDF files).
  7. meteorological_inputs_NLDAS_{GROUP}.zip: meteorological input data for the contemporary period organized into grids, groups of zipped CSV files (see the "lake_metadata.csv"
Daily surface temperature predictions for 185,549 U.S. lakes with associated observations and meteorological conditions (1980-2020)
공공데이터포털
Daily lake surface temperatures estimates for 185,549 lakes across the contiguous United States from 1980 to 2020 generated using an entity-aware long short-term memory deep learning model. In-situ measurements used for model training and evaluation are from 12,227 lakes and are included as well as daily meteorological conditions and lake properties. Median per-lake estimated error found through cross validation on lakes with in-situ surface temperature observations was 1.24 °C. The generated dataset will be beneficial for a wide range of applications including estimations of thermal habitats and the impacts of climate change on inland lakes.
Daily surface temperature predictions for 185,549 U.S. lakes with associated observations and meteorological conditions (1980-2020)
공공데이터포털
Daily lake surface temperatures estimates for 185,549 lakes across the contiguous United States from 1980 to 2020 generated using an entity-aware long short-term memory deep learning model. In-situ measurements used for model training and evaluation are from 12,227 lakes and are included as well as daily meteorological conditions and lake properties. Median per-lake estimated error found through cross validation on lakes with in-situ surface temperature observations was 1.24 °C. The generated dataset will be beneficial for a wide range of applications including estimations of thermal habitats and the impacts of climate change on inland lakes.
Daily surface temperature predictions for 185,549 U.S. lakes with associated observations and meteorological conditions (1980-2020)
공공데이터포털
Daily lake surface temperatures estimates for 185,549 lakes across the contiguous United States from 1980 to 2020 generated using an entity-aware long short-term memory deep learning model. In-situ measurements used for model training and evaluation are from 12,227 lakes and are included as well as daily meteorological conditions and lake properties. Median per-lake estimated error found through cross validation on lakes with in-situ surface temperature observations was 1.24 °C. The generated dataset will be beneficial for a wide range of applications including estimations of thermal habitats and the impacts of climate change on inland lakes.
Process-based water temperature predictions in the Midwest US: 1 Spatial data (GIS polygons for 7,150 lakes)
공공데이터포털
This dataset provides shapefile outlines of the 7,150 lakes that had temperature modeled as part of this study. The format is a shapefile for all lakes combined (.shp, .shx, .dbf, and .prj files). A csv file of lake metadata is also included. This dataset is part of a larger data release of lake temperature model inputs and outputs for 7,150 lakes in the U.S. states of Minnesota and Wisconsin (http://dx.doi.org/10.5066/P9CA6XP8).
Process-based water temperature predictions in the Midwest US: 1 Spatial data (GIS polygons for 7,150 lakes)
공공데이터포털
This dataset provides shapefile outlines of the 7,150 lakes that had temperature modeled as part of this study. The format is a shapefile for all lakes combined (.shp, .shx, .dbf, and .prj files). A csv file of lake metadata is also included. This dataset is part of a larger data release of lake temperature model inputs and outputs for 7,150 lakes in the U.S. states of Minnesota and Wisconsin (http://dx.doi.org/10.5066/P9CA6XP8).
Data release: Process-based predictions of lake water temperature in the Midwest US
공공데이터포털

Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures in different ways. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we focused on improving prediction accuracy for daily water temperature profiles in 7,150 lakes in Minnesota and Wisconsin during 1980-2019.

The data are organized into these items:

  1. Spatial data - A lake metadata file, and one shapefile of polygons for all 7,150 lakes in this study (.shp, .shx, .dbf, and .prj files)
  2. Model configurations - Model parameters and metadata used to configure models (1 JSON file, with metadata for each of 7,150 lakes, and one zip file with each lake's glm2.nml file)
  3. Temperature observations - Data formatted as model inputs for training, calibrating, or evaluating temperature models
  4. Model inputs - Data used to drive predictive models (35 zip files with ice-flags; 35 zip files with daily meteorological data)
  5. Prediction data - Predictions calibrated and uncalibrated PB models (35 zip files)
  6. Predicted habitat - Data formatted for ecological use

  7. This study was funded by the Department of the Interior Northeast and North Central Climate Adaptation Science Centers. Access to computing facilities was provided by USGS Core Science Analytics and Synthesis Advanced Research Computing, USGS Yeti Supercomputer (https://doi.org/10.5066/F7D798MJ).

Data release: Process-based predictions of lake water temperature in the Midwest US
공공데이터포털

Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures in different ways. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we focused on improving prediction accuracy for daily water temperature profiles in 7,150 lakes in Minnesota and Wisconsin during 1980-2019.

The data are organized into these items:

  1. Spatial data - A lake metadata file, and one shapefile of polygons for all 7,150 lakes in this study (.shp, .shx, .dbf, and .prj files)
  2. Model configurations - Model parameters and metadata used to configure models (1 JSON file, with metadata for each of 7,150 lakes, and one zip file with each lake's glm2.nml file)
  3. Temperature observations - Data formatted as model inputs for training, calibrating, or evaluating temperature models
  4. Model inputs - Data used to drive predictive models (35 zip files with ice-flags; 35 zip files with daily meteorological data)
  5. Prediction data - Predictions calibrated and uncalibrated PB models (35 zip files)
  6. Predicted habitat - Data formatted for ecological use

  7. This study was funded by the Department of the Interior Northeast and North Central Climate Adaptation Science Centers. Access to computing facilities was provided by USGS Core Science Analytics and Synthesis Advanced Research Computing, USGS Yeti Supercomputer (https://doi.org/10.5066/F7D798MJ).

Data release: Process-based predictions of lake water temperature in the Midwest US
공공데이터포털
,Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures in different ways. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we focused on improving prediction accuracy for daily water temperature profiles in 7,150 lakes in Minnesota and Wisconsin during 1980-2019. The data are organized into these items:
Process-based water temperature predictions in the Midwest US: 5 Model prediction data
공공데이터포털
Multiple modeling frameworks were used to predict daily temperatures at 0.5m depth intervals for a set of diverse lakes in the U.S. states of Minnesota and Wisconsin. General Lake Model verion 2 process-Based (PB) models were configured and calibrated with training data to reduce root-mean squared error for 449 lakes (PBALL). Uncalibrated models used default configurations (PB0; see Winslow et al. 2016 for details) and no parameters were adjusted according to model fit with observations for 7,150 lakes.