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Aviation System Monitoring and Modeling Project
Air transportation, one of the most important modes of transportation, is also one of the safest. Nevertheless, the public demands that safety levels continuously improve and that the absolute number of aviation accidents continue to decline, even as air-traffic levels increase. On February 12, 1997, after the tragedy of TWA 800, President William J. Clinton declared, “We will achieve a national goal of reducing the fatal aircraft accident rate by 80% within 10 years.” In response to this presidential declaration, the administrator of NASA announced that NASA would undertake a new program in aviation safety in support of this objective. NASA quickly formed the Aviation Safety Investment Strategy Team (ASIST) in collaboration with the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB), which organized a series of five workshops to examine the options and recommend an approach for NASA to develop the enabling technologies that address the president's goal. The exceptional and dedicated participation from all sectors of the aviation industry in the development of NASA’s strategy was remarkable.
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Proactive Management of Aviation System Safety Risk
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Aviation safety systems have undergone dramatic changes over the past fifty years. If you take a look at the early technology in this area, you'll see that there was a lot of work done in the area of so-called 'built-in-testing' (BIT) which essentially tests connectivity between different components. Technology has moved forward very far since that time. With the massive storage systems and advanced sensors and other communications systems, we are now able to capture and store vast quantities of health and control related data. This data is usually stored off-line for future analysis. In many cases, we also have an abundance of human-written text reports that relate to known safety issues. A key problem is to 'look' across all these data sources in order to find precursors to safety events. Although humans do look at many aspects of the data, it is difficult, if not impossible for them to integrate all the information available in a meaningful way. Other industries face this glut of data in their own way. Businesses have invested heavily in business intelligence products based on data mining that are designed to convert data into actionable information to maximize their profits or other metrics. The IVHM project is investing in data mining technologies to help sift through these massive data sets to uncover actionable information from a safety perspective. I've attached a presentation that Irv Statler and I gave at NASA HQ on this subject during an Aeronautics Technical Seminar. A video of the talk is also included. It's about 90 minutes long, so grab some popcorn. :)
Air transportation safety investigation report A15H0001
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Raising the bar on Safety : Reducing the risks associated with air-taxi operations in Canada
Automated Discovery of Flight Track Anomalies
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As new technologies are developed to handle the complexities of the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen), it is increasingly important to address both current and future safety concerns along with the operational, environmental, and efficiency issues within the National Airspace System (NAS). In recent years, the Federal Aviation Administration’s (FAA) safety offices have been researching ways to utilize the many safety databases maintained by the FAA, such as those involving flight recorders, radar tracks, weather, and many other high-volume sensors, in order to monitor this unique and complex system. Although a number of current technologies do monitor the frequency of known safety risks in the NAS, very few methods currently exist that are capable of analyzing large data repositories with the purpose of discovering new and previously unmonitored safety risks. While monitoring the frequency of known events in the NAS enables mitigation of already identified problems, a more proactive approach of finding unidentified issues still needs to be addressed. This is especially important in the proactive identification of new, emergent safety issues that may result from the planned introduction of advanced NextGen air traffic management technologies and procedures. Development of an automated tool that continuously evaluates the NAS to discover both events exhibiting flight characteristics indicative of safety-related concerns as well as operational anomalies will heighten the awareness of such situations in the aviation community and serve to increase the overall safety of the NAS. This paper discusses the extension of previous anomaly detection work to identify operationally significant flights within the highly complex airspace encompassing the New York area of operations, focusing on the major airports of Newark International (EWR), LaGuardia International (LGA), and John F. Kennedy International (JFK). In addition, flight traffic in the vicinity of Denver International (DEN) airport/airspace is also investigated to evaluate the impact on operations due to variances in seasonal weather and airport elevation. From our previous research, subject matter experts determined that some of the identified anomalies were significant, but could not reach conclusive findings without additional supportive data. To advance this research further, causal examination using domain experts is continued along with the integration of air traffic control (ATC) voice data to shed much needed insight into resolving which flight characteristic(s) may be impacting an aircraft's unusual profile. Once a flight characteristic is identified, it could be included in a list of potential safety precursors. This paper also describes a process that has been developed and implemented to automatically identify and produce daily reports on flights of interest from the previous day.
Greener Aviation with Virtual Sensors: A Case Study
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The environmental impact of aviation is enormous given the fact that in the US alone there are nearly 6 million flights per year of commercial aircraft. This situation has driven numerous policy and procedural measures to help develop environmentally friendly technologies which are safe and affordable and reduce the environmental impact of aviation. However, many of these technologies require significant initial investment in newer aircraft fleets and modifications to existing regulations which are both long and costly enterprises. We propose to use an anomaly detection method based on Virtual Sensors to help detect overconsumption of fuel in aircraft which relies only on the data recorded during flight of most existing commercial aircraft, thus significantly reducing the cost and complexity of implementing this method. The Virtual Sensors developed here are ensemble-learning regression models for detecting the overconsumption of fuel based on instantaneous measurements of the aircraft state. This approach requires no additional information about standard operating procedures or other encoded domain knowledge. We present experimental results on three data sets and compare five different Virtual Sensors algorithms. The first two data sets are publicly available and consist of a simulated data set from a flight simulator and a real-world turbine disk.We show the ability to detect anomalies with high accuracy on these data sets. These sets contain seeded faults, meaning that they have been deliberately injected into the system. The second data set is from realworld fleet of 84 jet aircraft where we show the ability to detect fuel overconsumption which can have a significant environmental and economic impact. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study of its kind in the aviation domain.