This data release contains estimated daily streamflow values for 9,203 level-12 hydrologic unit codes (HUC12) in the southeastern United States for the period 1950-2009. The files are provided in text different format, which can be used in R (https://www.r-project.org/) and in other programs. The 'Site Info' files contain the streamgage information and the 'Daily Values' files contain the predicted daily streamflow value for a given HUC12. Each of the datasets contains 500, 501, or 704 HUC12s, respectively. Data preparation and analysis of the predicted streamflow values were scripted in RStudio (version 3.5.3). Results of the analysis will be used to quantify streamflow alterations across the study area and will be published in a separate product.

This data release contains daily time series estimates of natural streamflow at the outlets of more than 80,000 12-digit hydrologic units in 19 study regions across the conterminous U.S. from October 1, 1980 through September 30, 2017, using three statistical techniques: Nearest-Neighbor Drainage Area Ratio (NNDAR), Map-Correlation Drainage Area Ratio (MCDAR), and Ordinary Kriging of the logarithms of discharge per unit area (OKDAR). Location information and drainage areas for index gages were obtained from the "Reference" gages of the GAGES-II dataset (Falcone, 2011, https://water.usgs.gov/lookup/getspatial?gagesII_Sept2011); location information and drainage areas for the HUC12 outlets were derived from attributes of the NHDPlus Version 2.1 (Price, 2016; Wieczorek and others, 2018). Daily streamflow data for index gages were retrieved from the National Water Information System (NWIS) on September 7, 2018. NNDAR and MCDAR estimates were computed following methods described by Farmer and others (2014). OKDAR estimates were computed using pooled variograms for each study region following methods described by Farmer (2016). The three sets of streamflow estimates represent expected natural streamflow conditions with minimal disturbance by human activities, in other words, without the effects of regulation, diversion, mining, or other anthropogenic activities.

This dataset contains statistical descriptions of observed daily-mean streamflow for 956 sites in the southeast United States. For each site, statistical descriptions are provided according to decade for up to six decades, beginning in 1950 (1950-59 calendar years) and ending with 2000 (2000 - 2009 calendar years) with no more than 7 missing values per year in total (continuous or noncontinuous). There are 40 statistical descriptions including 28 flow-duration curve values, 8 L-moments, and 4 describing the minimum, maximum, median flow for days not equal to zero, and number of zero-flow days. Site information is provided by decade - the number of rows per site varies from 1 to 6 depending on the number of decades with observed record available. This information was used as the response variable(s) for statistical models for estimating the same characteristics at nearly 10,000 ungaged locations throughout the southeast United States. The dataset has been provided as a shapefile and a comma-delimited file. The comma-delimited file is an exact copy of the attribute table of the shapefile.

Two methods of calculating hydrologic alteration were applied to modeled daily streamflow data for 9,201 12-digit hydrologic unit code (HUC12) pour points draining to the Gulf of Mexico (Robinson and others, 2020). The first method is a new modified method of calculating ecosurplus and ecodeficit called hydro change. For this project, ecosurplus and ecodeficit have been combined to assess overall hydrologic regime change. The second method is the confidence interval hypothesis test (Kroll and others, 2015). The first method is a means of quantifying hydrologic alteration while the second is a hypothesis test to simply determine if statistically significant alteration has occurred. Both methods are employed to determine which is best at analyzing alteration of the hydrologic regime in the Gulf Coast Ecosystem Restoration Council (RESTORE) study area. Statistical analysis was done in RStudio (2020). The data release includes four attached files: (1) metadata .xml file, (2) csv with the p-values for each HUC12, (3) csv with results from the hydrologic change analysis, and (4) the shapefile of the pour point locations for the HUC12s used in the analyses.

Two methods of calculating hydrologic alteration were applied to modeled daily streamflow data for 9,201 12-digit hydrologic unit code (HUC12) pour points draining to the Gulf of Mexico (Robinson and others, 2020). The first method is a new modified method of calculating ecosurplus and ecodeficit called hydro change. For this project, ecosurplus and ecodeficit have been combined to assess overall hydrologic regime change. The second method is the confidence interval hypothesis test (Kroll and others, 2015). The first method is a means of quantifying hydrologic alteration while the second is a hypothesis test to simply determine if statistically significant alteration has occurred. Both methods are employed to determine which is best at analyzing alteration of the hydrologic regime in the Gulf Coast Ecosystem Restoration Council (RESTORE) study area. Statistical analysis was done in RStudio (2020). The data release includes four attached files: (1) metadata .xml file, (2) csv with the p-values for each HUC12, (3) csv with results from the hydrologic change analysis, and (4) the shapefile of the pour point locations for the HUC12s used in the analyses.

Daily streamflow discharge data from 139 streamgages located on tributaries and streams flowing to the Gulf of Mexico were used to calculate mean monthly, mean seasonal, and decile values. Streamgages used to calculate trends required a minimum of 65 years of continuous daily streamflow data. These values were used to analyze trends in streamflow using the Mann-Kendall trend test in the R package entitled “Trends” and a new methodology created by Robert M. Hirsch known as a “Quantile-Kendall” plot. Data were analyzed based on water year using the Mann-Kendall trend test and by climate year using the Quantile-Kendall methodology to: (1) identify regions which are statistically similar for estimating streamflow characteristics; (2) identify trends related to changing streamflow and streamflow alteration over time; and (3) to identify possible correlations with estuary health in the Gulf of Mexico.

Daily streamflow discharge data from 139 streamgages located on tributaries and streams flowing to the Gulf of Mexico were used to calculate mean monthly, mean seasonal, and decile values. Streamgages used to calculate trends required a minimum of 65 years of continuous daily streamflow data. These values were used to analyze trends in streamflow using the Mann-Kendall trend test in the R package entitled “Trends” and a new methodology created by Robert M. Hirsch known as a “Quantile-Kendall” plot. Data were analyzed based on water year using the Mann-Kendall trend test and by climate year using the Quantile-Kendall methodology to: (1) identify regions which are statistically similar for estimating streamflow characteristics; (2) identify trends related to changing streamflow and streamflow alteration over time; and (3) to identify possible correlations with estuary health in the Gulf of Mexico.

Using previously published (Robinson and others, 2019) no-flow fractions and L-moments of nonzero streamflow from decadal streamflow flow-duration analysis (daily mean streamflow), probability distributions were fit to provide 27 estimated quantiles of decadal flow-duration curves, and hence the probability distributions are a form of parametric modeling that ensures monotonicity of the quantiles by non-exceedance probability (NEP). For both U.S. Geological Survey streamflow-gaging stations (streamgages) and level-12 hydrologic unit code (HUC12) catchments, as defined by Crowley-Ornelas and others (2019), the 27 quantiles were estimated and tabulated in this data release. Three probability distributions were used and are summarized by Asquith and others (2017): the asymmetric exponential power (AEP4) (4-parameter), generalized normal (GNO) (3-parameter log-normal), and kappa (KAP) (4-parameter). A summary of the mathematics for these distributions is provided in the README files within this data release and close consultation of the mathematical discussion in Asquith and others (2017) also is suggested. The lmomco R package (Asquith, 2020) was used for distribution fitting and the technically-demanding implementation for a single location is archived in the RESTORE/fdclmrpplo software release within file fdclmrpplo/scripts/pred_fdc_ref/pred_fdc_ref.R (Asquith and others, 2020). The implementation for the streamgages is archived in the RESTORE/fdclmrpplo software release within file fdclmrpplo/scripts/pred_fdc_gage/pred_fdc_gage.R, and the implementation for the HUC12s is archived file fdclmrpplo/scripts/pred_fdc_huc12/pred_fdc_huc12.R and README files therein. For a given data set of no-flow fraction and L-moments, the three distributions will have similar results in the central parts of NEP and differences will be largest in the far left (low flow) and far right (flood flow) tails. No opinion that a particular distribution is more suitable than another is provided with exception that the GNO is fit to the first three L-moments and the AEP4 and KAP are fit to the first four L-moments. As a result, it is logical to state that more information on the distribution of streamflow is retained by the AEP4 and KAP distributions than the GNO. The availability of three distributions with the data release is considered a feature because a semi-quantitative assessment of model error (uncertainty attributed to choice of model) can be made. Asquith, W.H., 2020, lmomco—L-moments, censored L-moments, trimmed L-moments, L-comoments, and many distributions: R package version 2.3.6, https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=lmomco. Asquith, W.H., Kiang, J.E., and Cohn, T.A., 2017, Application of at-site peak-streamflow frequency analyses for very low annual exceedance probabilities: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigation Report 2017–5038, 93 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20175038. Asquith, W.H., Knight, R.R., and Crowley-Ornelas, E.R., 2020, RESTORE/fdclmrpplo—Source code for estimation of L-moments and percent no-flow conditions for decadal flow-duration curves and estimation at level-12 hydrologic unit codes along with other statistical computations: U.S. Geological Survey software release, Reston, Va., https://doi.org/10.5066/P93CKH92. Crowley-Ornelas, E.R., Worland, S.C., Wieczorek, M.E., Asquith, W.H., Knight, R.R., 2019, Summary of basin characteristics for National Hydrography Dataset, version 2 catchments in the Southeastern United States, 1950–2010: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9KXTDU4. Robinson, A.L., Asquith, W.H., and Knight, R.R., 2019, Summary of decadal no-flow fractions and decadal L-moments of nonzero streamflow flow-duration curves for National Hydrography Dataset, version 2 catchments in the southeastern United States, 1950–2010: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9Z4PM55.

Using previously published (Robinson and others, 2019) no-flow fractions and L-moments of nonzero streamflow from decadal streamflow flow-duration analysis (daily mean streamflow), probability distributions were fit to provide 27 estimated quantiles of decadal flow-duration curves, and hence the probability distributions are a form of parametric modeling that ensures monotonicity of the quantiles by non-exceedance probability (NEP). For both U.S. Geological Survey streamflow-gaging stations (streamgages) and level-12 hydrologic unit code (HUC12) catchments, as defined by Crowley-Ornelas and others (2019), the 27 quantiles were estimated and tabulated in this data release. Three probability distributions were used and are summarized by Asquith and others (2017): the asymmetric exponential power (AEP4) (4-parameter), generalized normal (GNO) (3-parameter log-normal), and kappa (KAP) (4-parameter). A summary of the mathematics for these distributions is provided in the README files within this data release and close consultation of the mathematical discussion in Asquith and others (2017) also is suggested. The lmomco R package (Asquith, 2020) was used for distribution fitting and the technically-demanding implementation for a single location is archived in the RESTORE/fdclmrpplo software release within file fdclmrpplo/scripts/pred_fdc_ref/pred_fdc_ref.R (Asquith and others, 2020). The implementation for the streamgages is archived in the RESTORE/fdclmrpplo software release within file fdclmrpplo/scripts/pred_fdc_gage/pred_fdc_gage.R, and the implementation for the HUC12s is archived file fdclmrpplo/scripts/pred_fdc_huc12/pred_fdc_huc12.R and README files therein. For a given data set of no-flow fraction and L-moments, the three distributions will have similar results in the central parts of NEP and differences will be largest in the far left (low flow) and far right (flood flow) tails. No opinion that a particular distribution is more suitable than another is provided with exception that the GNO is fit to the first three L-moments and the AEP4 and KAP are fit to the first four L-moments. As a result, it is logical to state that more information on the distribution of streamflow is retained by the AEP4 and KAP distributions than the GNO. The availability of three distributions with the data release is considered a feature because a semi-quantitative assessment of model error (uncertainty attributed to choice of model) can be made. Asquith, W.H., 2020, lmomco—L-moments, censored L-moments, trimmed L-moments, L-comoments, and many distributions: R package version 2.3.6, https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=lmomco. Asquith, W.H., Kiang, J.E., and Cohn, T.A., 2017, Application of at-site peak-streamflow frequency analyses for very low annual exceedance probabilities: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigation Report 2017–5038, 93 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20175038. Asquith, W.H., Knight, R.R., and Crowley-Ornelas, E.R., 2020, RESTORE/fdclmrpplo—Source code for estimation of L-moments and percent no-flow conditions for decadal flow-duration curves and estimation at level-12 hydrologic unit codes along with other statistical computations: U.S. Geological Survey software release, Reston, Va., https://doi.org/10.5066/P93CKH92. Crowley-Ornelas, E.R., Worland, S.C., Wieczorek, M.E., Asquith, W.H., Knight, R.R., 2019, Summary of basin characteristics for National Hydrography Dataset, version 2 catchments in the Southeastern United States, 1950–2010: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9KXTDU4. Robinson, A.L., Asquith, W.H., and Knight, R.R., 2019, Summary of decadal no-flow fractions and decadal L-moments of nonzero streamflow flow-duration curves for National Hydrography Dataset, version 2 catchments in the southeastern United States, 1950–2010: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9Z4PM55.

A total of 193 streamflow characteristics (SFCs) were calculated from daily streamflow values for data from 1,371 USGS streamgages located on tributaries and streams flowing to the Gulf of Mexico. Streamgages used to calculate SFCs required a minimum of 10 years of continuous daily streamflow data. Data presented will be used to: (1) identify regions which are statistically similar for estimating streamflow characteristics; (2) develop regional regression models to predict SFC values for current and reference basin conditions at ungaged sites; and (3) identify trends related to changing streamflow and streamflow alteration over time.