This data release provides a set of Hydrological Simulation Program--Fortran (HSPF) model files representing 5 EPA-selected future climate change scenarios for each of three river basins: Blackstone in Massachusetts and Rhode Island, Pawcatuck in Rhode Island, and Ispwich in Massachusetts. Output from these models are intended for use as input to EPA Watershed Management Optimization Support Tool (WMOST) modeling. Climate scenarios, based on 2036-2065 change from 1975-2004 Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5, model effects of air temperature and precipitation changes (in degrees F for air temperature, in percent for precipitation) made to the input historical meteorological time series 1975-2004. Blackstone meteorological data are from T.F. Green Airport (Providence) and Worcester Regional Airport (Worcester), Pawcatuck meteorological data are from T.F. Green Airport (Providence), and Ipswich meteorological data are from 30 local National Weather Service Stations (1975-1995) and Boston Logan Airport (1996-2004). Each set of climate scenario model files are derived from the original calibrated model files developed to support WMOST modeling (refer to Source Input fields in this metadata file).

This data release provides a set of Hydrological Simulation Program--Fortran (HSPF) model files representing 5 EPA-selected future climate change scenarios for the Upper Charles River Basin in Massachusetts. Output from these models are intended for use as input to EPA Watershed Management Optimization Support Tool (WMOST) modeling. Climate scenarios, based on 2036-2065 changes from 1975-2004 for Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5, model the effects of air temperature and precipitation changes (in degrees F for air temperature, in percent for precipitation) made to the input historical meteorological time series for 1975-2004. Meteorological data are from Boston Airport (Boston, MA), T.F. Green Airport (Providence, RI), and Worcester Regional Airport (Worcester, MA). Each set of climate scenario model files are derived from the original calibrated model files created by the Charles River Watershed Association to develop Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs) for nutrients, and modified by USGS to support WMOST modeling (refer to Source Input fields in this metadata file).

This data release provides a set of Hydrological Simulation Program--Fortran (HSPF) model files representing 5 EPA-selected future climate change scenarios for the Upper Charles River Basin in Massachusetts. Output from these models are intended for use as input to EPA Watershed Management Optimization Support Tool (WMOST) modeling. Climate scenarios, based on 2036-2065 changes from 1975-2004 for Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5, model the effects of air temperature and precipitation changes (in degrees F for air temperature, in percent for precipitation) made to the input historical meteorological time series for 1975-2004. Meteorological data are from Boston Airport (Boston, MA), T.F. Green Airport (Providence, RI), and Worcester Regional Airport (Worcester, MA). Each set of climate scenario model files are derived from the original calibrated model files created by the Charles River Watershed Association to develop Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs) for nutrients, and modified by USGS to support WMOST modeling (refer to Source Input fields in this metadata file).

This data release provides a set of Hydrological Simulation Program--Fortran (HSPF) model files representing five EPA-selected future climate change scenarios for the Farmington River Basin in Massachusetts and Connecticut. Output from these models are intended for use as input to EPA Watershed Management Optimization Support Tool (WMOST) modeling. Climate scenarios, based on 2036-2065 changes from 1975-2004 for Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5, model the effects of air temperature and precipitation changes (in degrees F for air temperature, in percent for precipitation) made to the input historical meteorological time series for 1975-2004. Meteorological data are from the following climate stations in Connecticut: Hartford Airport, Burlington, and Norfolk. Each set of climate scenario model files are derived from the original calibrated model files created by EPA and the Connecticut Department of Energy and Environmental Protection Bureau of Water Management to evaluate nutrient sources and loadings to Long Island Sound and assessment of impacts of Best-Management Practices (BMP), and later extended by U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to support WMOST modeling (refer to Source Input fields in this metadata file).

This data release provides a set of Hydrological Simulation Program--Fortran (HSPF) model files representing five EPA-selected future climate change scenarios for the Farmington River Basin in Massachusetts and Connecticut. Output from these models are intended for use as input to EPA Watershed Management Optimization Support Tool (WMOST) modeling. Climate scenarios, based on 2036-2065 changes from 1975-2004 for Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5, model the effects of air temperature and precipitation changes (in degrees F for air temperature, in percent for precipitation) made to the input historical meteorological time series for 1975-2004. Meteorological data are from the following climate stations in Connecticut: Hartford Airport, Burlington, and Norfolk. Each set of climate scenario model files are derived from the original calibrated model files created by EPA and the Connecticut Department of Energy and Environmental Protection Bureau of Water Management to evaluate nutrient sources and loadings to Long Island Sound and assessment of impacts of Best-Management Practices (BMP), and later extended by U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to support WMOST modeling (refer to Source Input fields in this metadata file).

This data release provides a set of Hydrological Simulation Program--Fortran (HSPF) model files representing 5 EPA-selected future climate change scenarios for each of two river basins: Taunton and Sudbury, in Massachusetts. Output from these models are intended for use as input to EPA Watershed Management Optimization Support Tool (WMOST) modeling. Climate scenarios, based on 2036-2065 change from 1975-2004 Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5, model effects of air temperature and precipitation changes (in degrees F for air temperature, in percent for precipitation) made to the input historical meteorological time series 1975-2004. Taunton meteorological data is from T.F. Green Airport and the Sudbury meteorological data is from Worcester Regional Airport. Each set of climate scenario model files are derived from the original calibrated model files developed to support WMOST modeling (refer to Source Input fields in this metadata file).

This data release provides a set of Hydrological Simulation Program--Fortran (HSPF) model files representing 5 EPA-selected future climate change scenarios for each of two river basins: Taunton and Sudbury, in Massachusetts. Output from these models are intended for use as input to EPA Watershed Management Optimization Support Tool (WMOST) modeling. Climate scenarios, based on 2036-2065 change from 1975-2004 Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5, model effects of air temperature and precipitation changes (in degrees F for air temperature, in percent for precipitation) made to the input historical meteorological time series 1975-2004. Taunton meteorological data is from T.F. Green Airport and the Sudbury meteorological data is from Worcester Regional Airport. Each set of climate scenario model files are derived from the original calibrated model files developed to support WMOST modeling (refer to Source Input fields in this metadata file).

The U.S. Geological Survey has developed tools for projecting twenty-first century climate and hydrologic risk in Massachusetts in collaboration with Cornell University and Tufts University. These tools included a Stochastic Weather Generator (SWG). Output from the SWG is in this data release. The release includes daily precipitation and minimum and maximum air temperature for a 64-year period in the Nashua River watershed (that includes the Squannacook River) in Massachusetts and New Hampshire. There are 100 ensembles from the SWG for warming scenarios of 0 to 8 degrees Celsius in 0.5-degree increments. The SWG data were converted to a format utilized by the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS; https://www.usgs.gov/software/precipitation-runoff-modeling-system-prms) and input to a PRMS model for the Squannacook River watershed. The PRMS input and output files for the 100 ensembles of each of the 17 warming scenarios are also included in this data release. The 1,700 PRMS output files were utilized by a Stochastic Watershed Modeling tool to correct modeling biases that are inherent with a deterministic model such as PRMS. This data release includes the output from this Stochastic Watershed Model (SWM). For each of the 100 ensembles, the SWM was used to generate 10,000 ensembles, resulting in 1 million ensembles of 64-year periods for each of the warming scenarios. For each ensemble, streamflow characteristics of the annual maximum daily discharge at the 2-, 5-, 10-, 25-, 50-, 100-, and 500-year recurrence interval and of the annual 7-day low flow at the 2- and 10-year recurrence interval were determined.

The U.S. Geological Survey has developed tools for projecting twenty-first century climate and hydrologic risk in Massachusetts in collaboration with Cornell University and Tufts University. These tools included a Stochastic Weather Generator (SWG). Output from the SWG is in this data release. The release includes daily precipitation and minimum and maximum air temperature for a 64-year period in the Nashua River watershed (that includes the Squannacook River) in Massachusetts and New Hampshire. There are 100 ensembles from the SWG for warming scenarios of 0 to 8 degrees Celsius in 0.5-degree increments. The SWG data were converted to a format utilized by the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS; https://www.usgs.gov/software/precipitation-runoff-modeling-system-prms) and input to a PRMS model for the Squannacook River watershed. The PRMS input and output files for the 100 ensembles of each of the 17 warming scenarios are also included in this data release. The 1,700 PRMS output files were utilized by a Stochastic Watershed Modeling tool to correct modeling biases that are inherent with a deterministic model such as PRMS. This data release includes the output from this Stochastic Watershed Model (SWM). For each of the 100 ensembles, the SWM was used to generate 10,000 ensembles, resulting in 1 million ensembles of 64-year periods for each of the warming scenarios. For each ensemble, streamflow characteristics of the annual maximum daily discharge at the 2-, 5-, 10-, 25-, 50-, 100-, and 500-year recurrence interval and of the annual 7-day low flow at the 2- and 10-year recurrence interval were determined.

The input datasets are daily precipitation and minimum and maximum temperature for a period of 64 years for warming scenarios of 0 degrees to 8 degrees Celsius, by 0.5-degree increments for the Squannacook River watershed in Massachusetts. The source of the data is the Stochastic Weather Generator (SWG; Steinschneider and Najibi, 2022) and includes 100 ensembles from the SWG. The daily time-series, space-delimited files cover three subwatersheds within the Squannacook River watershed in a format readable by the Precipitation Runoff-Modeling System (PRMS; https://www.usgs.gov/software/precipitation-runoff-modeling-system-prms). The input files were input to PRMS, along with the model control and parameter files, to generate the output files. The output files are daily time-series in comma-delimited format of the resulting discharges for the Squannacook River at the mouth of the river and at the Squannacook River near West Groton, Massachusetts streamgage for each of the ensembles of each of the warming scenarios.