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Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS): Future Climate
This digital dataset contains the baseline and future climate data used as the basis for analysis of current and future water supplies and demands in the Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS). SCRBS uses a suite of integrated hydrologic models to explore impacts of future climate and socioeconomic scenarios on water supplies and demands in the basins. SCRBS considers one baseline climate scenario that represents recent historical climate conditions and five future climate scenarios that encompass the range of uncertainty in projections of future climate conditions through the end of the 21st century. The baseline scenario was developed by removing trends from an observed historical climate dataset such that the long-term monthly mean and variance over the full period of record (1931-2015) are consistent with observed historical averages over the baseline period (1980-2009). Future climate scenarios were developed by adjusting the baseline scenario to reflect projected changes in the distributions of monthly precipitation and temperature. The five future climate scenarios reflect the range of projected changes across an ensemble of statistically downscaled climate projections: Hot-Wet (HW), Warm-Wet (WW), Hot-Dry (HD), Warm-Dry (WD), and Central Tendency (CT). Analysis of future climate conditions was based on the Localized Constructed Analogues (LOCA) dataset, which includes statistically downscaled climate projections from global climate models (Pierce and others, 2014). Baseline and future climate scenarios were spatially downscaled from a native 1/16° grid to a 270-meter grid. The data set includes daily 270-meter gridded spatially distributed daily precipitation (PPT), maximum and minimum air temperature (TMX and TMN, respectively), and potential evapotranspiration (PET) from 1/1/2016 to 12/31/2100. Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., and Thrasher, B. L., 2014, Statistical downscaling using Localized Constructed Analogs (LOCA): Journal of Hydrometeorology, v. 15, no. 6, p. 2558-2585, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0082.1.
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Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS): Future Climate Baseline Scenario
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This digital dataset contains the baseline climate scenario data used for the Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS). The baseline climate scenario has the climate trends removed from it. The files included in this child item are the daily 270-meter gridded spatially distributed daily precipitation (PPT), maximum and minimum air temperature (TMX and TMN, respectively), and potential evapotranspiration (PET) from 1/1/2016 to 12/31/2100.
Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS): Future Climate Hot-Dry (HD) Scenario
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This digital dataset contains the Hot-Dry (HD) climate scenario data used for the Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS). The Hot-Dry (HD) climate scenario is based on the 10th percentile change in precipitation and the 90th percentile change in temperature. The files included in this child item are the daily 270-meter gridded spatially distributed daily precipitation (PPT), maximum and minimum air temperature (TMX and TMN, respectively), and potential evapotranspiration (PET) from 1/1/2016 to 12/31/2100.
Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS): Future Climate Warm-Wet (WW) Scenario
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This digital dataset contains the Warm-Wet (WW) climate scenario data used for the Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS). The Warm-Wet (WW) climate scenario is based on the 90th percentile change in precipitation and the 10th percentile change in temperature. The files included in this child item are the daily 270-meter gridded spatially distributed daily precipitation (PPT), maximum and minimum air temperature (TMX and TMN, respectively), and potential evapotranspiration (PET) from 1/1/2016 to 12/31/2100.
Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS): Future Climate Hot-Wet (HW) Scenario
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This digital dataset contains the Hot-Wet (HW) climate scenario data used for the Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS). The Hot-Wet (HW) climate scenario is based on the 90th percentile change in precipitation and the 90th percentile change in temperature. The files included in this child item are the daily 270-meter gridded spatially distributed daily precipitation (PPT), maximum and minimum air temperature (TMX and TMN, respectively), and potential evapotranspiration (PET) from 1/1/2016 to 12/31/2100.
Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS): Future Climate Central Tendency (CT) Scenario
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This digital dataset contains the Central Tendency (CT) climate scenario data used for the Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS). The Central Tendency (CT) climate scenario is based on the 50th percentile change in precipitation, 50th percentile change in temperature. The files included in this child item are the daily 270-meter gridded spatially distributed daily precipitation (PPT), maximum and minimum air temperature (TMX and TMN, respectively), and potential evapotranspiration (PET) from 1/1/2016 to 12/31/2100.
Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS): Future Climate Warm-Dry (WD) Scenario
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This digital dataset contains the Warm-Dry (WD) climate scenario data used for the Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS). The Warm-Dry (WD) climate scenario is based on the 10th percentile change in precipitation and the 10th percentile change in temperature. The files included in this child item are the daily 270-meter gridded spatially distributed daily precipitation (PPT), maximum and minimum air temperature (TMX and TMN, respectively), and potential evapotranspiration (PET) from 1/1/2016 to 12/31/2100.
Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models: Future Climate Data
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This digital dataset contains the gridded future climate data used for the Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models. The monthly climate data for Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models are based on the Salinas and Carmel River Basins Study (SCRBS) future climate scenarios [Henson and others, 2024). SCRBS considers one baseline climate scenario that represents recent historical climate conditions and five future climate scenarios: Hot-Wet (HW), Warm-Wet (WW), Hot-Dry (HD), Warm-Dry (WD), and Central Tendency (CT) [Henson and others, 2024]. To develop the monthly climate grids, the regional climate data was resampled to a monthly timescale and area weighted to the model grid. The climate data includes spatially distributed monthly precipitation and potential evapotranspiration (expressed in millimeters, mm) for the model grid for January 2016 to January 2100.
Salinas Valley Hydrologic System: Regional Climate Data (ver 2.0, February 2025)
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This digital dataset contains the climate data used for the Salinas Valley Hydrologic System, including the Salinas Valley Watershed Model (SVWM) and the Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models (Salinas Valley Integrated Hydrologic Model (SVIHM) and Salinas Valley Operational Model (SVOM)). The climate data include spatially distributed daily precipitation, maximum and minimum air temperature, and potential evapotranspiration for the period from 10/1/1947 to 9/30/2023. This data set includes the following files: raster of the extent used in the Salinas Valley Hydrologic System; shapefiles of the input climate stations and daily gridded climate data for daily precipitation (PPT), maximum and minimum air temperature (TMN and TMX respectively), and potential evapotranspiration (PET).
Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models: Climate Data
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This digital dataset contains the climate data used for the Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models (Salinas Valley Integrated Hydrologic Model (SVIHM) and Salinas Valley Operational Model (SVOM)). The monthly climate data for the Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models are based on the regional climate data for the Salinas Valley Hydrologic System [Hevesi and others, 2022]. To develop the monthly climate grids, the regional climate data were resampled to a monthly timescale and area weighted to the model grid. The climate data include spatially distributed monthly precipitation and potential evapotranspiration for the model grid for October 1967 to September 2018.