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GLA Economics - Just transition initial analysis by industry group in London
These slides begin to explore the potential impacts of the transition to a net-zero carbon and circular economy on different industry groups and workers in London. It should be noted that this analysis has not been based on London’s emissions as reported through the London Energy and Greenhouse Gas Inventory (LEGGI). Instead we use UK level data on emissions and energy consumption by industry group and apportion to a London level using regional employment estimates. This is an imperfect approach, intended to provide a first approximation of trends by industry group based on available data. The findings provide an initial insight but should be treated with caution. Main findings from the analysis Among the main findings, the analysis shows that by industry group: London apportioned GHG emissions are highest in Transport & Storage, followed by Electricity & Gas and Manufacturing High-emitting industry groups tend to account for a relatively small share of employment among London residents Some (but not all) high-emitting industry groups have seen a recent increase in GHG emissions at the UK level and employment at the London level Jobs in high-emitting industry groups tend to be spatially concentrated in different parts of London What are the main assumptions behind these findings? In the absence of sub-national estimates being available by industry group, we have apportioned UK GHG emissions and energy consumption to London using (resident based) ONS Annual Population Survey data. This allows us to look at trends using Standard Industrial Classification (SIC 2007) groups. This approach assumes that GHG emissions per worker and energy consumption per worker are the same within industries across the country. In reality, the occupational structure and carbon intensity of an industry is likely to vary across regions. It also reflects resident, not workplace, employment patterns. Our London apportion estimates also exclude GHG emissions from consumer expenditure and only covers direct emissions by industry. Further analysis of indirect emissions across supply chains could be of value when considering the longer-term challenges faced by the economy as part of this transition.
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Current Issues Note: Regional, sub-regional and local gross value added estimates for London
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Current Issue Note 43 In December 2014 the Office for National Statistics (ONS) released provisional estimates of regional, sub-regional and local gross value added (GVA) for 2013 (although industry breakdowns of the data are for 2012) measured by the income approach. Also published in December 2014 were experimental results for regional real GVA as measured by the production approach for the years 1998 to 2012. This note presents the findings for London from the main GVA release (using the income approach) and then outlines the results from the experimental real GVA data. In addition, the note will cover recent changes to the National Accounts methodology and borough-level GVA estimates produced by GLA Economics. Curent Issues Note 41 In December 2013 the Office for National Statistics (ONS) released provisional estimates of regional, sub-regional and local gross value added (GVA) for 2012 (although industry breakdowns of the data are for 2011) measured by the income approach. Also published in December 2013 were experimental results for regional real GVA as measured by the production approach for the years 1998 to 2011. This note presents the findings for London and then outlines the results from the experimental real GVA data.
GLA Economics - Monitoring the employment impact of mayoral programmes and initiatives
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GLA Economics has produced a report ‘Monitoring the employment impact of mayoral programmes and initiatives’. The analysis allows us to estimate the number of jobs associated with GLA Group-led activity from the start of the Mayoral term (2016). The data available to download here shows gross jobs by job type, programme and policy area. Please note the report was amended on 18 May 2023 to reflect more up-to-date figures on the number of affordable home starts from the Affordable Housing Programme. This update reflects a change from 96,360 homes in December 2022 to 116,782 homes, as of March 2023. In addition, some terminology in the report was changed to specify clearly that the estimate provided is based on housing starts.