Agricultural, domestic, and ecological vulnerability of California's Central Coast to projected changes in land-use, water sustainability, and climate by 2061 under five scenarios
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This data release provides 270-m resolution maps of hotspots of vulnerability to projected changes in land-use, water shortages, and climate from 2001-2061 for agricultural, domestic, and ecological communities in the Central Coast of California, USA, under five management scenarios. This data covers the counties of Santa Cruz, San Benito, Monterey, San Luis Obispo, and Santa Barbara counties, but only cover those areas overlying a groundwater basin (because these contain the overwhelming majority of regional anthropogenic land-uses). Data are provided as .zip compressed file packages containing geospatial raster surfaces (.tif format). Each map is the product of one of three types of exposure to change (land, water, or climate) and one of three types of sensitivity to that change (agricultural, domestic, ecological). The resulting vulnerability measures map hotspots of nine vulnerabilities, plus a tenth map that is the sum of all nine measures to identify hotspots of overall vulnerability. See Van Schmidt et al. (2023) in Ecology & Society (doi: TBD) for full methodological details. Briefly, exposure to future land-use change and water shortages were jointly forecast from 2001 to 2061 with the Land Use and Carbon + Water Simulator (LUCAS-W) based on historical empirical rates. Exposure to climate change was calculated from five model-averaged RCP 8.5 forecasts of the Basin Characterization Model (BCM), which estimated change in runoff as surface water, potential recharge to groundwater aquifers, and climatic water deficit (CWD), among other variables. Lastly, sensitivity for communities was obtained from diverse datasets including LUCAS-W cropland projections, crop water demand data, farmland importance rankings, 2017 census data, range maps for imperiled species and subspecies, and wildlife agency reports. Sensitivity and exposure layers were rescaled 0-1 to allow for comparison, and the final vulnerability measures therefore have a possible range from 0 (no vulnerability) up to a maximum of 1 (maximum exposure and maximum sensitivity). The nine measures are as follows: (1) Land-Agricultural: Loss of important farmland; (2) Land-Domestic: Lack of new development in areas with housing needs; (3) Land-Ecological: Loss of critical habitats for endangered species; (4) Water-Agricultural: Increased water demand that cannot be fallowed (orchards/vineyards); (5) Water-Domestic: Household vulnerability to increased water inaffordability; (6) Water-Ecological: Drying of groundwater-dependent habitats for endangered species; (7) Climate-Agricultural: Increased irrigation water needs of crops; (8) Climate-Domestic: Household vulnerability to heat-related health impacts; (9) Climate-Ecological: Loss of runoff & recharge that keeps streams, ponds, and vernal pools wet. Each .zip file is a compressed file package containing maps of each measure under five scenarios, which have different sets of management assumptions along two axes, Water management Low/Moderate/High intensity and Land use management Low/Moderate/High intensity: - MM (Moderate / Moderate management intensity): a scenario where water demand caps under the Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) reduce development in overdrafted groundwater basins based on current total water supplies, and where prime farmland and groundwater recharge areas will be protected from urban sprawl (i.e., land use projections assuming development stabilizes at a level sustainable with current water supplies, and urban sprawl limits). The other four scenarios differ from the MM scenario by altering one of these management strategies, while keeping the second strategy at the "Moderate" level. -- WL (Water management Low intensity): a pre-SGMA "business-as-usual" scenario where water demand is uncoupled from land-use change and does not need to stabilize at sustainable levels. -- WH (Water management High intensity): a scenario that assumes that water demand caps, but with increased caps due
Agricultural, domestic, and ecological vulnerability of California's Central Coast to projected changes in land-use, water sustainability, and climate by 2061 under five scenarios
공공데이터포털
This data release provides 270-m resolution maps of hotspots of vulnerability to projected changes in land-use, water shortages, and climate from 2001-2061 for agricultural, domestic, and ecological communities in the Central Coast of California, USA, under five management scenarios. This data covers the counties of Santa Cruz, San Benito, Monterey, San Luis Obispo, and Santa Barbara counties, but only cover those areas overlying a groundwater basin (because these contain the overwhelming majority of regional anthropogenic land-uses). Data are provided as .zip compressed file packages containing geospatial raster surfaces (.tif format). Each map is the product of one of three types of exposure to change (land, water, or climate) and one of three types of sensitivity to that change (agricultural, domestic, ecological). The resulting vulnerability measures map hotspots of nine vulnerabilities, plus a tenth map that is the sum of all nine measures to identify hotspots of overall vulnerability. See Van Schmidt et al. (2023) in Ecology & Society (doi: TBD) for full methodological details. Briefly, exposure to future land-use change and water shortages were jointly forecast from 2001 to 2061 with the Land Use and Carbon + Water Simulator (LUCAS-W) based on historical empirical rates. Exposure to climate change was calculated from five model-averaged RCP 8.5 forecasts of the Basin Characterization Model (BCM), which estimated change in runoff as surface water, potential recharge to groundwater aquifers, and climatic water deficit (CWD), among other variables. Lastly, sensitivity for communities was obtained from diverse datasets including LUCAS-W cropland projections, crop water demand data, farmland importance rankings, 2017 census data, range maps for imperiled species and subspecies, and wildlife agency reports. Sensitivity and exposure layers were rescaled 0-1 to allow for comparison, and the final vulnerability measures therefore have a possible range from 0 (no vulnerability) up to a maximum of 1 (maximum exposure and maximum sensitivity). The nine measures are as follows: (1) Land-Agricultural: Loss of important farmland; (2) Land-Domestic: Lack of new development in areas with housing needs; (3) Land-Ecological: Loss of critical habitats for endangered species; (4) Water-Agricultural: Increased water demand that cannot be fallowed (orchards/vineyards); (5) Water-Domestic: Household vulnerability to increased water inaffordability; (6) Water-Ecological: Drying of groundwater-dependent habitats for endangered species; (7) Climate-Agricultural: Increased irrigation water needs of crops; (8) Climate-Domestic: Household vulnerability to heat-related health impacts; (9) Climate-Ecological: Loss of runoff & recharge that keeps streams, ponds, and vernal pools wet. Each .zip file is a compressed file package containing maps of each measure under five scenarios, which have different sets of management assumptions along two axes, Water management Low/Moderate/High intensity and Land use management Low/Moderate/High intensity: - MM (Moderate / Moderate management intensity): a scenario where water demand caps under the Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) reduce development in overdrafted groundwater basins based on current total water supplies, and where prime farmland and groundwater recharge areas will be protected from urban sprawl (i.e., land use projections assuming development stabilizes at a level sustainable with current water supplies, and urban sprawl limits). The other four scenarios differ from the MM scenario by altering one of these management strategies, while keeping the second strategy at the "Moderate" level. -- WL (Water management Low intensity): a pre-SGMA "business-as-usual" scenario where water demand is uncoupled from land-use change and does not need to stabilize at sustainable levels. -- WH (Water management High intensity): a scenario that assumes that water demand caps, but with increased caps due
Biodiversity Explorer
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,California supports one of the greatest displays of biodiversity in the nation and the world. The challenge posed by the 30x30 initiative, is to plan and implement conservation strategies which allow all Californians to continue to flourish and succeed, while also ensuring that we safeguard the great abundance of species which reside in this state, and in many cases, exist nowhere else on Earth.,Maximizing the benefits of 30x30 for everyone requires, among many other factors, deliberate consideration of the landscape and the ways in which biodiversity is distributed within it. This Explorer introduces several types of biodiversity data for stakeholders to consider when engaged in conservation planning.,The Biodiversity Explorer includes dashboards for the Areas of Conservation Emphasis (ACE) and Habitat and Land Cover datasets. These allow deeper explorations of the state’s exceptional biodiversity and the current state of conservation by land cover.,The Areas of Conservation Emphasis (ACE) dashboard presents summaries of species data collected and analyzed by the California Department of Fish and Wildlife (CDFW) as part of its ongoing ACE project. ACE rolls multiple types of Species Richness into a Biodiversity Index, and also considers Connectivity, Climate Resilience, and Significant Habitats, all important factors to species and ecological health.,The Habitat and Land Cover dashboard presents maps and summaries of land cover according to categories defined by the California Wildlife Habitat Relationship System (CWHR) maintained by CDFW. Conserving connected networks of all land cover types is key to conserving the species which depend upon them. The Habitat and Land Cover dashboard shows the percentage that each land cover type comprises within a county or ecoregion, and the degree to which it falls within already conserved areas.,
Ca. 4th Climate Change Assessment Regions
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Regional boundaries for use by CA Nature to support activities related to Executive Order N-82-20. These include California's 30x30 effort, Climate Smart Land Strategies, and equitable access to open space. This layer is derived from the 4th California Climate Assessment regions, and enhanced using the California County Boundaries dataset (version 19.1) maintained by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection's Fire Resource Assessment Program, and the 3 Nautical Mile marine boundary for California sourced from the California Department of Fish and Wildlife.
Ca. 4th Climate Change Assessment Regions
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Regional boundaries for use by CA Nature to support activities related to Executive Order N-82-20. These include California's 30x30 effort, Climate Smart Land Strategies, and equitable access to open space. This layer is derived from the 4th California Climate Assessment regions, and enhanced using the California County Boundaries dataset (version 19.1) maintained by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection's Fire Resource Assessment Program, and the 3 Nautical Mile marine boundary for California sourced from the California Department of Fish and Wildlife.
Ca. 4th Climate Change Assessment Regions
공공데이터포털
Regional boundaries for use by CA Nature to support activities related to Executive Order N-82-20. These include California's 30x30 effort, Climate Smart Land Strategies, and equitable access to open space. This layer is derived from the 4th California Climate Assessment regions, and enhanced using the California County Boundaries dataset (version 19.1) maintained by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection's Fire Resource Assessment Program, and the 3 Nautical Mile marine boundary for California sourced from the California Department of Fish and Wildlife.
Ca. 4th Climate Change Assessment Regions
공공데이터포털
Regional boundaries for use by CA Nature to support activities related to Executive Order N-82-20. These include California's 30x30 effort, Climate Smart Land Strategies, and equitable access to open space. This layer is derived from the 4th California Climate Assessment regions, and enhanced using the California County Boundaries dataset (version 19.1) maintained by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection's Fire Resource Assessment Program, and the 3 Nautical Mile marine boundary for California sourced from the California Department of Fish and Wildlife.