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1D Heat Loss Models Validation Experiment
Contains data from the model validation in the 1D Heat Loss Models to Predict the Aquifer Temperature Profile during Hot/Cold Water Injection Project. The data include two COMSOL models (2D axisymmetric benchmark model and 2D Vinsome model), one python code (1D Vinsome based FEM numerical simulation), one matlab main code (1D Newton analytical solution and all results comparison visualization), and output files generated from the above models.
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Subsurface Characterization and Machine Learning Predictions at Brady Hot Springs Results
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Geothermal power plants typically show decreasing heat and power production rates over time. Mitigation strategies include optimizing the management of existing wells - increasing or decreasing the fluid flow rates across the wells - and drilling new wells at appropriate locations. The latter is expensive, time-consuming, and subject to many engineering constraints, but the former is a viable mechanism for periodic adjustment of the available fluid allocations. Data and supporting literature from a study describing a new approach combining reservoir modeling and machine learning to produce models that enable strategies for the mitigation of decreased heat and power production rates over time for geothermal power plants. The computational approach used enables translation of sets of potential flow rates for the active wells into reservoir-wide estimates of produced energy and discovery of optimal flow allocations among the studied sets. In our computational experiments, we utilize collections of simulations for a specific reservoir (which capture subsurface characterization and realize history matching) along with machine learning models that predict temperature and pressure timeseries for production wells. We evaluate this approach using an "open-source" reservoir we have constructed that captures many of the characteristics of Brady Hot Springs, a commercially operational geothermal field in Nevada, USA. Selected results from a reservoir model of Brady Hot Springs itself are presented to show successful application to an existing system. In both cases, energy predictions prove to be highly accurate: all observed prediction errors do not exceed 3.68% for temperatures and 4.75% for pressures. In a cumulative energy estimation, we observe prediction errors that are less than 4.04%. A typical reservoir simulation for Brady Hot Springs completes in approximately 4 hours, whereas our machine learning models yield accurate 20-year predictions for temperatures, pressures, and produced energy in 0.9 seconds. This paper aims to demonstrate how the models and techniques from our study can be applied to achieve rapid exploration of controlled parameters and optimization of other geothermal reservoirs. Includes a synthetic, yet realistic, model of a geothermal reservoir, referred to as open-source reservoir (OSR). OSR is a 10-well (4 injection wells and 6 production wells) system that resembles Brady Hot Springs (a commercially operational geothermal field in Nevada, USA) at a high level but has a number of sufficiently modified characteristics (which renders any possible similarity between specific characteristics like temperatures and pressures as purely random). We study OSR through CMG simulations with a wide range of flow allocation scenarios. Includes a dataset with 101 simulated scenarios that cover the period of time between 2020 and 2040 and a link to the published paper about this project, where we focus on the Machine Learning work for predicting OSR's energy production based on the simulation data, as well as a link to the GitHub repository where we have published the code we have developed (please refer to the repository's readme file to see instructions on how to run the code). Additional links are included to associated work led by the USGS to identify geologic factors associated with well productivity in geothermal fields. Below are the high-level steps for applying the same modeling + ML process to other geothermal reservoirs: 1. Develop a geologic model of the geothermal field. The location of faults, upflow zones, aquifers, etc. need to be accounted for as accurately as possible 2. The geologic model needs to be converted to a reservoir model that can be used in a reservoir simulator, such as, for instance, CMG STARS, TETRAD, or FALCON 3. Using native state modeling, the initial temperature and pressure distributions are evaluated, and they become the initial conditions for dynamic reservoir simulations 4. Using history
Dataset and SUTRA model used to evaluate Reservoirs for Thermal Energy Storage in the Portland Basin, Oregon.
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This is a link to the open access, published dataset and modeling that supports a feasibility study of Reservoir Thermal Energy Storage (RTES) in the Portland Basin, Oregon, USA. Citation: Burns, E.R., 2020, SUTRA model used to evaluate Saline or Brackish Aquifers as Reservoirs for Thermal Energy Storage in the Portland Basin, Oregon, USA: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9A6D6XM.
Dataset and SUTRA model used to evaluate Reservoirs for Thermal Energy Storage in the Portland Basin, Oregon.
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This is a link to the open access, published dataset and modeling that supports a feasibility study of Reservoir Thermal Energy Storage (RTES) in the Portland Basin, Oregon, USA. Citation: Burns, E.R., 2020, SUTRA model used to evaluate Saline or Brackish Aquifers as Reservoirs for Thermal Energy Storage in the Portland Basin, Oregon, USA: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9A6D6XM.
Utah FORGE: Well 58-32 Injection Test Data
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This submission contains pressure and flow time series data from the reservoir testing of Well 58-32. These activities were part of the Utah FORGE Phase 2B site suitability confirmatory testing.
Utah FORGE: Well 58-32 Injection Test Data
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This submission contains pressure and flow time series data from the reservoir testing of Well 58-32. These activities were part of the Utah FORGE Phase 2B site suitability confirmatory testing.
Subsurface Characterization and Machine Learning Predictions at Brady Hot Springs
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Subsurface data analysis, reservoir modeling, and machine learning (ML) techniques have been applied to the Brady Hot Springs (BHS) geothermal field in Nevada, USA to further characterize the subsurface and assist with optimizing reservoir management. Hundreds of reservoir simulations have been conducted in TETRAD-G and CMG STARS to explore different injection and production fluid flow rates and allocations and to develop a training data set for ML. This process included simulating the historical injection and production since 1979 and prediction of future performance through 2040. ML networks were created and trained using TensorFlow based on multilayer perceptron, long short-term memory, and convolutional neural network architectures. These networks took as input selected flow rates, injection temperatures, and historical field operation data and produced estimates of future production temperatures. This approach was first successfully tested on a simplified single-fracture doublet system, followed by the application to the BHS reservoir. Using an initial BHS data set with 37 simulated scenarios, the trained and validated network predicted the production temperature for six production wells with the mean absolute percentage error of less than 8%. In a complementary analysis effort, the principal component analysis applied to 13 BHS geological parameters revealed that vertical fracture permeability shows the strongest correlation with fault density and fault intersection density. A new BHS reservoir model was developed considering the fault intersection density as proxy for permeability. This new reservoir model helps to explore underexploited zones in the reservoir. A data gathering plan to obtain additional subsurface data was developed; it includes temperature surveying for three idle injection wells at which the reservoir simulations indicate high bottom-hole temperatures. The collected data assist with calibrating the reservoir model. Data gathering activities are planned for the first quarter of 2021. This GDR submission includes a preprint of the paper titled "Subsurface Characterization and Machine Learning Predictions at Brady Hot Springs" presented at the 46th Stanford Geothermal Workshop (SGW) on Geothermal Reservoir Engineering from February 16-18, 2021.
Pressure-Temperature Simulation at Brady Hot Springs
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These files contain the output of a model calculation to simulate the pressure and temperature of fluid at Brady Hot Springs, Nevada, USA. The calculation couples the hydrologic flow (Darcy's Law) with simple thermodynamics. The epoch of validity is 24 March 2015. Coordinates are UTM Easting, Northing, and Elevation in meters. Temperature is specified in degrees Celsius. Pressure is specified in Pascal.
Experimental Results for Heat-Pulse Flowmeter
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The heat-pulse flowmeter (HH) used in this testing is a KVA Model 200 system. The instrument computes groundwater vectors from heat arrival and decay in an array of four thermistors that surround a single heat source. An external compass attached to the top of the deployment system is used to orient the flowmeter in the borehole. The HH measured groundwater velocity and flow in the x-y plane. Fuzzy packers were filled with 0.08-inch diameter glass beads for all tests. The HH thermistors were centered over the simulated fracture during measurements. One to four measurements were made with the HH for each simulated flow.
Experimental Results for Heat-Pulse Flowmeter
공공데이터포털
The heat-pulse flowmeter (HH) used in this testing is a KVA Model 200 system. The instrument computes groundwater vectors from heat arrival and decay in an array of four thermistors that surround a single heat source. An external compass attached to the top of the deployment system is used to orient the flowmeter in the borehole. The HH measured groundwater velocity and flow in the x-y plane. Fuzzy packers were filled with 0.08-inch diameter glass beads for all tests. The HH thermistors were centered over the simulated fracture during measurements. One to four measurements were made with the HH for each simulated flow.
3. Simulations for model archive: Identifying structural priors in a hybrid differentiable model for stream water temperature modeling at 415 U.S. basin outlets, 2010-2016
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This section provides model simulation outputs from the models described by Rahmani et al. (2023b), as well as a subset of model outputs produced by Rahmani et al. (2021) that were used for comparison within Rahmani et al. (2023b).

The full model archive is organized into these four child items:

  • 1. Model code - Python files and README for reproducing model training and evaluation
  • 2. Inputs - Basin attributes and shapefiles, forcing data, and stream temperature observations
  • [THIS ITEM] 3. Simulations - Simulation descriptions, configurations, and outputs
  • 4. Figure code - Jupyter notebook to recreate the figures in Rahmani et al. (2023b)
  • The publication associated with this model archive is: Rahmani, F., Appling, A.P., Feng, D., Lawson, K., and Shen, C. 2023b. Identifying structural priors in a hybrid differentiable model for stream water temperature modeling. Water Resources Research. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023WR034420.